A paper by Professor Tom Pike, from Imperial College London, compares deaths for confirmed Covid-19 cases in China with eight other countries - all of which have implemented some form of social distancing measures. The estimates in Professor Pike's paper show that Italy would have 28,000 deaths and Spain would have 46,000 fatalities - the highest in Europe. The United States would have 28,000 deaths, Netherlands 6,000, Germany 4,000, France 18,000 and South Korea, 150.